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Univ. Craiova vs FC UTA Arad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Superliga Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Etim M.
38'
Mekvabishvili A.
44'
Pospelov D.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga game between Univ. Craiova and FC UTA Arad finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Univ. Craiova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Univ. Craiova
15%
Draws
32%
FC UTA Arad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Univ. Craiova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Univ. Craiova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Univ. Craiova taking it.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 68%
FC UTA Arad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Univ. Craiova FC UTA Arad
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Superliga
Univ. Craiova vs FC UTA Arad
4:0
Nov 9, 2025 Superliga
Univ. Craiova vs FC UTA Arad
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs Univ. Craiova
3:3
Nov 25, 2024 Superliga
FC UTA Arad vs Univ. Craiova
1:2
Jul 20, 2024 Superliga
Univ. Craiova vs FC UTA Arad
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Univ. Craiova Compare

Top Goalscorer Teles Samuel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baiaram S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FC UTA Arad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Univ. Craiova 86 / 100
FC UTA Arad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Univ. Craiova FC UTA Arad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Univ. Craiova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Univ. Craiova scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Univ. Craiova has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC UTA Arad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Univ. Craiova VS FC UTA Arad
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Univ. Craiova

(Home)
04 Oct
CSM Slatina
0 : 4
Univ. Craiova
19 Sept
Univ. Craiova
5 : 0
FCSB
13 Sept
Corvinul Hunedoara
0 : 1
Univ. Craiova
07 Sept
Univ. Craiova
4 : 0
Universitatea Cluj
03 Sept
FC Bacau
1 : 2
Univ. Craiova
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FC UTA Arad

(Away)
10 Oct
FC Botosani
2 : 0
FC UTA Arad
18 Sept
FC UTA Arad
1 : 0
Sepsi
11 Sept
Farul Constanta
4 : 2
FC UTA Arad
05 Sept
FC UTA Arad
5 : 1
Miercurea Ciuc
02 Sept
Minerul Lupeni
0 : 3
FC UTA Arad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 11 8 2 1 25:7 26
2 Rapid Bucuresti 10 6 3 1 14:6 21
3 Univ. Craiova 10 6 2 2 24:9 20
4 Petrolul 10 6 1 3 13:12 19
5 Universitatea Cluj 10 6 0 4 17:14 18
6 Corvinul Hunedoara 11 4 4 3 14:11 16
7 FCSB 11 4 3 4 14:17 15
8 FC Botosani 11 3 5 3 16:12 14
9 Farul Constanta 10 3 5 2 14:14 14
10 CFR Cluj 10 4 1 5 16:17 13
11 Sepsi 11 3 4 4 7:12 13
12 FC UTA Arad 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Campionii Arges 10 3 2 5 6:10 11
14 Otelul 11 2 4 5 11:16 10
15 Voluntari 11 2 2 7 11:25 8
16 Miercurea Ciuc 10 0 1 9 6:23 1
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)