Sport Picks
Univ. Craiova vs Mainz
Europe
Conference League 2025/2026 Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova 
Match Events
12'
12'
Bell S.
24'
24'
Sub
Zentner R. In: Riess L.
Out: Zentner R.
41'
41'
Rus A.
AI Match Summary
Univ. Craiova in this Conference League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Univ. Craiova.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mainz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Mainz have won more games recently than Univ. Craiova.
- Model gives Mainz a 38% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 10%
Mainz Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Univ. Craiova | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 2.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 27, 2025 Conference League
Univ. Craiova vs Mainz
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Univ. Craiova 10 / 100
Mainz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Univ. Craiova Mainz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mainz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Univ. Craiova found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Solid form: Univ. Craiova remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Mainz conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Univ. Craiova VS Mainz
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Univ. Craiova
(Home) 27 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 0 Univ. Craiova
23 Aug
Univ. Craiova
3 : 1 Voluntari
20 Aug
Univ. Craiova
1 : 1 Ararat-Armenia
16 Aug
Otelul
1 : 1 Univ. Craiova
13 Aug
Univ. Craiova
2 : 1 KuPS
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Univ. Craiova
3 : 1 Voluntari
20 Aug
Univ. Craiova
1 : 1 Ararat-Armenia
13 Aug
Univ. Craiova
2 : 1 KuPS
09 Aug
Univ. Craiova
0 : 1 Campionii Arges
01 Aug
Univ. Craiova
4 : 0 Petrolul
Page 1 of 3
Mainz
(Away) 29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9 Mainz
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
08 Aug
Mainz
4 : 0 Paris FC
01 Aug
Udinese
3 : 3 Mainz
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9 Mainz
01 Aug
Udinese
3 : 3 Mainz
11 Jul
Eisbachtal
0 : 10 Mainz
04 Jul
Pfeddersheim
0 : 11 Mainz
16 May
Heidenheim
0 : 2 Mainz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rakow Czestochowa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | AEK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Shakhtar | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Mainz | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 8 | AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 13 | Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 18 | Omonia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 19 | Noah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 20 | Drita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 8 |
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 22 | Shkendija Tetovo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 23 | Zrinjski | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 25 | Univ. Craiova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 28 | Legia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 32 | Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 33 | Hamrun | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
| 35 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | 2 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
