Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universidad Central vs Deportivo La Guaira

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sole F.
19'
Perdomo J.
37'
Simarra A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Universidad Central and Deportivo La Guaira finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Universidad Central
30%
Draws
34%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Universidad Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo La Guaira haven't matched Universidad Central's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Universidad Central a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Universidad Central Clean Sheet 19%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universidad Central Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 14
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Universidad Central
0:0
May 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Universidad Central vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Deportivo La Guaira vs Universidad Central
1:1
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Universidad Central vs Deportivo La Guaira
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universidad Central Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Londono F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universidad Central 36 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universidad Central Deportivo La Guaira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Universidad Central scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Deportivo La Guaira has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Deportivo La Guaira has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Universidad Central VS Deportivo La Guaira
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo La Guaira1376015:627
2Metropolitanos1374217:1025
3Dep. Tachira1373317:1224
4Universidad Central1372424:2023
5Portuguesa1355320:1220
6Estudiantes Merida1362521:1820
7Carabobo1347223:1419
8Academia Puerto Cabello1345416:1417
9Zamora1345414:1417
10Caracas1336415:1715
11Rayo Zuliano1342713:2314
12Monagas1332814:2211
13Academia Anzoategui1323815:259
14Trujillanos130499:264