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Universidad Crucena vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz in this Nacional B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Universidad Crucena
6%
Draws
90%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz have won more games recently than Universidad Crucena.
  • Win probability leans Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Universidad Crucena Clean Sheet 16%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universidad Crucena Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Matches Played 18 32
Wins 4 22
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Universidad Crucena
6:0
Jun 4, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universidad Crucena vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universidad Crucena 10 / 100
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universidad Crucena Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Universidad Crucena scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Universidad Crucena remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Universidad Crucena

(Home)
16 Jul
Universidad Crucena
2 : 2
River 66
02 Jul
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Universidad Crucena
25 Jun
Universidad Crucena
0 : 3
24 de Septiembre
21 Jun
Torre Fuerte
2 : 0
Universidad Crucena
18 Jun
River 66
1 : 2
Universidad Crucena
Page 1 of 4

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

(Away)
09 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
02 Nov
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
3 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
26 Oct
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Olympic FC
12 Oct
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario Beni642011:314
2San Lorenzo del Beni62316:89
3Alianza Beni61324:46
4Los Almendros60245:112
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fancesa853019:418
2Nacional Sucre834112:913
3Deportivo Aleman841312:1113
4Atletico Sucre832317:1511
5Independiente Recreo80086:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo852117:517
2Pasion Celeste834112:713
3Real Mizque83418:713
4Enrique Happ824212:710
5Israel University80084:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic853024:718
2Academia del Balompie833224:912
3Hiska Nacional833212:1012
4Chaco Petrolero833215:1412
5Huayna Potosi Palcoco80087:42-2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose862023:720
2Sur-Car841317:1513
3Real Oruro833220:912
4Em Huanuni822415:128
5CM Poopo81074:363
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando22007:26
2Real Mapajo20022:70
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi650112:215
2Stormers SL632110:211
3Rosario Central62137:67
4Huracan Tupiza60150:191
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz861125:819
2Torre Fuerte850315:715
324 de Septiembre833214:1212
4River 6681259:225
5Universidad Crucena81256:205
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija851216:816
2Municipalidad de Yacuiba842214:1414
3Atletico Bermejo841312:713
4Ciclon81434:87
5Garcia Agreda80445:144
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams