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Universidad Oviedo vs CD Mosconia

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Universidad Oviedo play CD Mosconia in the Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Universidad Oviedo averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. CD Mosconia averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. In past meetings, Universidad Oviedo won 0, CD Mosconia won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 17, 2019 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Universidad Oviedo and 1.30 for CD Mosconia. This points to a CD Mosconia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Universidad Oviedo
28%
Draws
50%
CD Mosconia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CD Mosconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Universidad Oviedo picked up more points recently compared to CD Mosconia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Universidad Oviedo Clean Sheet 19%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universidad Oviedo CD Mosconia
Matches Played 36 46
Wins 8 25
Draws 9 10
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.89 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.65

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Universidad Oviedo vs CD Mosconia
0:0
Sep 30, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Universidad Oviedo
4:0
Apr 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Universidad Oviedo vs CD Mosconia
0:1
Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Universidad Oviedo
3:2
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Universidad Oviedo vs CD Mosconia
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universidad Oviedo 24 / 100
CD Mosconia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universidad Oviedo CD Mosconia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Mosconia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Universidad Oviedo attacking → ← attacking CD Mosconia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universidad Oviedo scored in 61% of their last 36 games.

CD Mosconia let in goals in 46% of their last 46 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Universidad Oviedo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Mosconia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 85
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Condal38268467:2086
2Caudal Deportivo38259468:1884
3Real Oviedo B38239682:3478
4Tuilla38228867:3174
5Covadonga382171063:3970
6Llanes381713861:5164
7Union Club Ceares381615751:4163
8Praviano3814111347:4653
9Basico Urraca3812141250:4750
10Atletico de Lugones3813101545:4949
11CD Mosconia3811141337:4547
12Real Aviles B3811131446:5346
13Astur3811131439:5246
14Gijon Industrial3812101642:5046
15CD Roces3811121537:4345
16Andes CF381271944:6043
17L Entregu CF389111834:5438
18Lenense38852538:7229
19Universidad Oviedo38562730:7821
20Cudillero38233310:759