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Universitario Beni vs San Martin de Yacuiba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Universitario Beni
15%
Draws
85%
San Martin de Yacuiba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Martin de Yacuiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Universitario Beni have won more games recently than San Martin de Yacuiba.
  • Model gives San Martin de Yacuiba a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Universitario Beni have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor San Martin de Yacuiba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Universitario Beni Clean Sheet 20%
San Martin de Yacuiba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario Beni San Martin de Yacuiba
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 12 3
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Martin de Yacuiba vs Universitario Beni
4:1
Aug 23, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario Beni vs San Martin de Yacuiba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario Beni 10 / 100
San Martin de Yacuiba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario Beni San Martin de Yacuiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin de Yacuiba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario Beni found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

San Martin de Yacuiba let in goals in 67% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

San Martin de Yacuiba lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario Beni VS San Martin de Yacuiba
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario Beni

(Home)
27 Sept
San Martin de Yacuiba
4 : 1
Universitario Beni
19 Sept
Tiquipaya
6 : 0
Universitario Beni
12 Sept
Universitario Beni
1 : 4
Virginia
05 Sept
Universitario Beni
1 : 2
Tiquipaya
31 Aug
Virginia
2 : 0
Universitario Beni
Page 1 of 6

San Martin de Yacuiba

(Away)
27 Sept
San Martin de Yacuiba
4 : 1
Universitario Beni
20 Sept
Virginia
1 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
12 Sept
Tiquipaya
5 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
06 Sept
San Martin de Yacuiba
0 : 1
Virginia
30 Aug
San Martin de Yacuiba
1 : 0
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)