Sport Picks

Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Monumental

Universitario de Deportes

1 - 1

Atletico Grau

Our Tip

Match Events

Caceres A.

48'

Ruidiaz Y.

(Penalty)

50'

Gonzales M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Copa de la Liga game between Universitario de Deportes and Atletico Grau finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Universitario de Deportes

40%

Draws

29%

Atletico Grau

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Universitario de Deportes come out ahead of Atletico Grau on wins alone.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de la Liga fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 20%

Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Universitario de Deportes	Atletico Grau
Matches Played	31	27
Wins	13	6
Draws	10	7
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	0.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Copa de la Liga

Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

May 16, 2026 Liga 1

Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Aug 1, 2025 Liga 1

Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Jun 26, 2025 Liga 1

Atletico Grau vs Universitario de Deportes

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

0:2

Jul 21, 2024 Liga 1

Atletico Grau vs Universitario de Deportes

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universitario de Deportes Compare

Top Goalscorer Caceres A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Atletico Grau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes 32 / 100

Atletico Grau 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Universitario de Deportes Atletico Grau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Deportes scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Atletico Grau let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Universitario de Deportes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes VS Atletico Grau

0.38 Goals Scored 1.13

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Atl.	3	3	0	0	5:1	9
2	Carlos Mannucci	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
3	A. Lima	3	0	1	2	2:5	1
4	Cesar Vallejo	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ADA Jaen	2	1	1	0	2:0	4
2	Juan Pablo II	2	0	2	0	0:0	2
3	Comerciantes Unidos	2	0	1	1	0:2	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cajamarca	2	1	1	0	5:3	4
2	Llacuabamba	2	0	2	0	3:3	2
3	FC Cajamarca	2	0	1	1	2:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Grau	2	1	1	0	4:3	4
2	Pirata	2	1	0	1	4:3	3
3	Universitario de Deportes	2	0	1	1	1:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Huancayo	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	AD Tarma	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
3	Alianza Huanuco	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Union Minas	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cienciano	3	3	0	0	6:2	9
2	Deportivo Garcilaso	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
3	Binacional	3	1	0	2	5:9	3
4	Cusco	3	0	1	2	4:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Los Chankas	2	2	0	4:0	6
2	Santos FC	2	1	1	2:4	3
3	Ayacucho	2	0	2	1:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moquegua	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
2	Tacna Heroica	2	1	0	1	5:5	3
3	FBC Melgar	2	0	1	1	2:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Boys	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	AD Cantolao	2	1	0	1	4:6	3
3	U. San Martin	2	0	1	1	5:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Cristal	3	2	1	0	5:2	7
2	Comerciantes FC	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Union Comercio	3	1	0	2	3:4	3
4	Estudiantil CNI	3	0	1	2	2:5	1