Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atl.

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Monumental
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Santamaria A.
47' Event
Robaldo V.
Assist: Flores F.
51' Event
Flores E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Universitario de Deportes and Alianza Atl. finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza Atl..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Universitario de Deportes
20%
Draws
38%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Universitario de Deportes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Universitario de Deportes come out ahead of Alianza Atl. on wins alone.
  • Model gives Universitario de Deportes a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atl.
1:2
Oct 1, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Universitario de Deportes
0:2
May 11, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atl.
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Universitario de Deportes
0:3
Apr 6, 2024 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atl.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universitario de Deportes Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Robaldo V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes 42 / 100
Alianza Atl. 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes Alianza Atl.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Deportes's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Alianza Atl. conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Universitario de Deportes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes VS Alianza Atl.
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016