Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Monumental
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Di Benedetto M.
33'
Polo A.
46'
Sub
Flores E. In: Fertoli H.
Out: Flores E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Universitario de Deportes and Atletico Grau finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Grau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Universitario de Deportes
44%
Draws
20%
Atletico Grau
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Universitario de Deportes come out ahead of Atletico Grau on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 24%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes Atletico Grau
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau
1:1
May 16, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau
0:1
Aug 1, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau
3:1
Jun 26, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Universitario de Deportes
0:2
Jul 21, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Universitario de Deportes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universitario de Deportes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Atletico Grau Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruidiaz R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes 37 / 100
Atletico Grau 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes Atletico Grau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Deportes's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Atletico Grau let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Universitario de Deportes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes VS Atletico Grau
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016