Sport Picks
Universitario de Deportes vs Comerciantes Unidos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Monumental, Lima 
Match Events
18'
18'
Rojas F.
21'
21'
Sen M.
25'
25'
Requena J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Universitario de Deportes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Universitario de Deportes lately — more wins on the board than Comerciantes Unidos.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Universitario de Deportes taking it.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 68%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Universitario de Deportes | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario de Deportes
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Comerciantes Unidos
3:1
Feb 9, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario de Deportes
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Universitario de Deportes
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Universitario de Deportes Compare
Top Goalscorer Inga C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Top Goalscorer Jhon Sanchez
1 Goals Assists Leader Alcedo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Universitario de Deportes 50 / 100
Comerciantes Unidos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Universitario de Deportes Comerciantes Unidos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Comerciantes Unidos conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Universitario de Deportes's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Universitario de Deportes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Universitario de Deportes VS Comerciantes Unidos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Universitario de Deportes
(Home) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
08 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Sporting Cristal
25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1 Cusco
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0 Millonarios
Page 1 of 3
Comerciantes Unidos
(Away) 10 Oct
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1 Juan Pablo II
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
14 Aug
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
31 Jul
Los Chankas
3 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
