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Universitario de Deportes W vs Palmeiras W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Libertadores Women. This one's hard to separate. Universitario de Deportes W have averaged 4 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Palmeiras W's 2 scored and 0.77 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.13) point toward Universitario de Deportes W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Universitario de Deportes W
20%
Draws
32%
Palmeiras W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Universitario de Deportes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Universitario de Deportes W have won more games recently than Palmeiras W.
  • Model gives Universitario de Deportes W a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Universitario de Deportes W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Universitario de Deportes W Clean Sheet 20%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes W Palmeiras W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 19 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 4 2
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes W 85 / 100
Palmeiras W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes W Palmeiras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Deportes W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Universitario de Deportes W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Palmeiras W let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.

Palmeiras W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes W VS Palmeiras W
3.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Deportes W

(Home)
26 Sept
UNSAAC W
2 : 5
Universitario de Deportes W
19 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
4 : 0
Killas W
13 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
5 : 0
Flamengo FBC W
05 Sept
Yanapuma W
3 : 9
Universitario de Deportes W
30 Aug
Universitario de Deportes W
2 : 3
A. Lima W
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Palmeiras W

(Away)
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
01 Sept
Bahia W
1 : 1
Palmeiras W
26 Aug
Palmeiras W
4 : 1
Bragantino W
22 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 0
Palmeiras W
16 Aug
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
EC Juventude W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Corinthians W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Universitario de Deportes W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Independiente del Valle W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional de Football W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)