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Universitario de Sucre vs El Tejar

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Nacional B 2024 Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2024 game between Universitario de Sucre and El Tejar finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universitario de Sucre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Universitario de Sucre
35%
Draws
19%
El Tejar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Universitario de Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • El Tejar haven't matched Universitario de Sucre's recent run of results.
  • Universitario de Sucre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Universitario de Sucre Clean Sheet 20%
El Tejar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Sucre El Tejar
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 18 0
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.4 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Sucre vs El Tejar
6:3
Aug 16, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
El Tejar vs Universitario de Sucre
0:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Sucre 85 / 100
El Tejar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Sucre El Tejar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitario de Sucre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Sucre scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

El Tejar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

Games between these two average 8.50 goals.

Universitario de Sucre went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Sucre VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Sucre

(Home)
27 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
0 : 4
Deportivo Tigres
13 Sept
San Juan FC
2 : 0
Universitario de Sucre
04 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
30 Aug
Universitario de Sucre
1 : 1
San Juan FC
Page 1 of 6

El Tejar

(Away)
20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
6 : 3
El Tejar
13 Sept
El Tejar
1 : 1
Amanecer
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Amanecer
5 : 2
El Tejar
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CDN Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Petrolero de Yacuiba 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Stormers SC 6 2 1 3 6:14 7
4 Millonarios 6 1 0 5 6:11 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 5 0 1 22:7 15
2 Amanecer 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
3 Ciclon 6 1 2 3 8:14 5
4 El Tejar 6 0 2 4 9:24 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Beni 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
2 Tiquipaya 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Moto Club 6 0 1 5 7:20 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
2 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
3 Fatic 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oruro Royal 6 4 0 2 15:16 12
2 Real Oruro 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 Destroyers 6 1 3 2 9:8 6
4 Rio San Juan 6 0 3 3 8:14 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia del Balompie 6 3 2 1 19:11 11
2 3 de Febrero 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
4 Vaca Diez 6 0 2 4 3:16 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams