Sport Picks

Universitario de Sucre vs Universitario de Tarija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar

Universitario de Sucre

4 - 0

Universitario de Tarija

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Universitario de Sucre

30%

Draws

31%

Universitario de Tarija

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Universitario de Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Universitario de Sucre come out ahead of Universitario de Tarija on wins alone.
Universitario de Sucre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Universitario de Sucre have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Universitario de Sucre, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 71%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Universitario de Sucre Clean Sheet 68%

Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Universitario de Sucre	Universitario de Tarija
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	18	11
Draws	4	5
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	2.83	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.96
Expected Goals (xG)	3.48	1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar

Universitario de Sucre vs Universitario de Tarija

4:0

Aug 22, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar

Universitario de Tarija vs Universitario de Sucre

0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Sucre 95 / 100

Universitario de Tarija 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Universitario de Sucre Universitario de Tarija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitario de Sucre Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Sucre found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Universitario de Tarija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Universitario de Sucre went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Sucre VS Universitario de Tarija

4.13 Goals Scored 0.83

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.83

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 67%

75% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Sucre

(Home)

27 Sept

Universitario de Sucre

4 : 0

Universitario de Tarija

20 Sept

Universitario de Sucre

0 : 4

Deportivo Tigres

13 Sept

San Juan FC

2 : 0

Universitario de Sucre

04 Sept

Deportivo Tigres

1 : 1

Universitario de Sucre

30 Aug

Universitario de Sucre

1 : 1

San Juan FC

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Universitario de Tarija

(Away)

27 Sept

Universitario de Sucre

4 : 0

Universitario de Tarija

19 Sept

Universitario de Tarija

3 : 2

San Juan FC

12 Sept

Universitario de Tarija

1 : 3

Deportivo Tigres

06 Sept

San Juan FC

5 : 0

Universitario de Tarija

29 Aug

Deportivo Tigres

1 : 1

Universitario de Tarija

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