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Universitario de Tarija vs Deportivo Tigres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Universitario de Tarija
30%
Draws
47%
Deportivo Tigres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Tigres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Universitario de Tarija come out ahead of Deportivo Tigres on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Tigres's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Universitario de Tarija have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportivo Tigres, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 12%
Deportivo Tigres Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Tarija Deportivo Tigres
Matches Played 28 6
Wins 11 2
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.29 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.96 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Deportivo Tigres
1:3
Aug 29, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Tigres vs Universitario de Tarija
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Tarija 10 / 100
Deportivo Tigres 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Tarija Deportivo Tigres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Tigres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Tigres has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Universitario de Tarija's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Universitario de Tarija has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Tarija VS Deportivo Tigres
1.25 Goals Scored 1.29
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Tarija

(Home)
27 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
19 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
3 : 2
San Juan FC
12 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 3
Deportivo Tigres
06 Sept
San Juan FC
5 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
29 Aug
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Tarija
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Tigres

(Away)
27 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
0 : 1
San Juan FC
20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
0 : 4
Deportivo Tigres
12 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 3
Deportivo Tigres
04 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
29 Aug
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Tarija
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)