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Stadium Background

Universitario de Tarija vs Garcia Agreda

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2015/2016 game between Universitario de Tarija and Garcia Agreda finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universitario de Tarija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Universitario de Tarija
20%
Draws
38%
Garcia Agreda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Universitario de Tarija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Universitario de Tarija carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Universitario de Tarija taking it.
  • Regular Nacional B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%
Garcia Agreda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Tarija Garcia Agreda
Matches Played 22 34
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 14
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 3 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Garcia Agreda
2:1
Oct 18, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Garcia Agreda vs Universitario de Tarija
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Tarija 40 / 100
Garcia Agreda 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Tarija Garcia Agreda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Garcia Agreda conceded in 85% of 34 recent games.

Universitario de Tarija's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Garcia Agreda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Tarija VS Garcia Agreda
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Royal Pari860218:918
2Guabira851219:716
3Universitario Beni851220:1516
4Mariscal Sucre822413:148
5San Borja80088:330
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aurora641115:913
2Em Huanuni63037:109
3Arauco Prado61329:96
4Maestranza61235:85
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Tarija85127:816
2Garcia Agreda841314:1113
3Quebracho Villa Montes841315:1413
4Fancesa831415:1310
5Wilstermann Cooperativas820611:166