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Universitario de Tarija vs Quebracho Villa Montes

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2015/2016 game between Universitario de Tarija and Quebracho Villa Montes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Universitario de Tarija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Universitario de Tarija
28%
Draws
50%
Quebracho Villa Montes
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Quebracho Villa Montes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quebracho Villa Montes come out ahead of Universitario de Tarija on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Quebracho Villa Montes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%
Quebracho Villa Montes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Tarija Quebracho Villa Montes
Matches Played 22 34
Wins 10 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 3 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Quebracho Villa Montes
2:1
Feb 28, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Universitario de Tarija
3:2
Dec 6, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Universitario de Tarija
4:0
Nov 2, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Quebracho Villa Montes
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Tarija 22 / 100
Quebracho Villa Montes 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Tarija Quebracho Villa Montes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Tarija's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Defensive concern: Quebracho Villa Montes conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Universitario de Tarija has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Tarija VS Quebracho Villa Montes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Tarija632111:911
2Em Huanuni62227:68
3Royal Pari62224:38
4Quebracho Villa Montes62045:96
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guabira651015:216
2Universitario Beni62227:108
3Aurora61323:66
4Garcia Agreda60244:112