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Universitario de Tarija vs Universitario de Sucre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Universitario de Tarija
30%
Draws
39%
Universitario de Sucre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Universitario de Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Universitario de Sucre come out ahead of Universitario de Tarija on wins alone.
  • Universitario de Sucre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Universitario de Sucre arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Universitario de Sucre, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Sucre Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Tarija Universitario de Sucre
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 11 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.29 2.79
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 3.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Sucre vs Universitario de Tarija
4:0
Aug 22, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Universitario de Sucre
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Tarija 10 / 100
Universitario de Sucre 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Tarija Universitario de Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitario de Sucre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Tarija scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Universitario de Sucre conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Universitario de Tarija stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Tarija VS Universitario de Sucre
0.83 Goals Scored 4.13
2.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
67% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Tarija

(Home)
27 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
19 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
3 : 2
San Juan FC
12 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 3
Deportivo Tigres
06 Sept
San Juan FC
5 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
29 Aug
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Tarija
Page 1 of 6

Universitario de Sucre

(Away)
27 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
0 : 4
Deportivo Tigres
13 Sept
San Juan FC
2 : 0
Universitario de Sucre
04 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
30 Aug
Universitario de Sucre
1 : 1
San Juan FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)