Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario Salto vs Paysandu FC

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Jaques J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Universitario Salto advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Universitario Salto
28%
Draws
22%
Paysandu FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Universitario Salto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paysandu FC come out ahead of Universitario Salto on wins alone.
  • Universitario Salto are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Paysandu FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Universitario Salto, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Universitario Salto Clean Sheet 10%
Paysandu FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario Salto Paysandu FC
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 0 4
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 4 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2022 Copa Uruguay
Universitario Salto vs Paysandu FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universitario Salto Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaques J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Paysandu FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario Salto 47 / 100
Paysandu FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario Salto Paysandu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario Salto scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

Defensive concern: Paysandu FC conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Universitario Salto remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Universitario Salto VS Paysandu FC
1 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario Salto

(Home)
25 Sept
Racing Montevideo
4 : 1
Universitario Salto
11 Sept
Universitario Salto
7 : 0
CA Florida
26 Aug
Universitario Salto
2 : 0
Wanderers
28 Oct
Universitario Salto
1 : 3
Boston River
06 Sept
Universitario Salto
1 : 3
Wanderers
Page 1 of 2

Paysandu FC

(Away)
25 Jul
Colon
2 : 3
Paysandu FC
13 Jul
Paysandu FC
1 : 0
Fenix
04 Jul
Rentistas
1 : 2
Paysandu FC
27 Jun
Paysandu FC
2 : 3
Miramar
20 Jun
Tacuarembo
1 : 0
Paysandu FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Lavalleja (Minas)1
Atenas2
Mar De Fondo4
Huracan FC0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cerrito-
Club Atletico Basanez0
Uruguay Montevideo FC4
Palermo de Rocha3
Piriapolis2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Rocha2
Paso de la Arena0
Lavalleja de Rocha1
Huracan Buceo2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rentistas-
Progreso-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Danubio-
Canadian Soccer Club0
Racing Montevideo1
Salto FC0
Huracan Paysandu1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Defensor Sp.-
Juventud Colonia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
River Plate Montevideo-
Tacuarembo1
Central Esp.3
Wanderers Juvenil1
Club Atletico Artigas2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liverpool M.-
Universitario Salto-
Sud America-
Paysandu FC1
Paysandu Bella Vista0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wanderers-
Durazno3
CA Cerro2
Porongos0
Boquita3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plaza Colonia-
Quilmes-
Villa Espanola-
Deportivo Colonia3
Santa Emilia1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cerro Largo-
Laureles0
Colon2
Los Halcones1
Sportivo Barracas0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Penarol-
Central San Jose-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston River-
Bella Vista0
Rampla Juniors1
Rio Negro3
Wanderers Santa Lucia1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maldonado-
Miramar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Club Nacional-
CA Alto Peru0
Juventud4
Parque Del Plata1
Universal San Jose3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Albion-
Potencia0
La Luz7
Atletico Juanico1
Deportivo Italiano2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fenix-
1/32-finals
Atenas0
Mar De Fondo1
TBD-
Cerrito-
Uruguay Montevideo FC2
Palermo de Rocha1
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Rocha2
Huracan Buceo1
TBD-
Rentistas-
Progreso-
TBD-
TBD-
Danubio-
Racing Montevideo1
Huracan Paysandu0
TBD-
Defensor Sp.-
Juventud Colonia-
TBD-
TBD-
River Plate Montevideo-
Central Esp.2
Club Atletico Artigas1
TBD-
Liverpool M.-
Universitario Salto1
Paysandu FC0
TBD-
Wanderers-
Durazno2
Boquita1
TBD-
Plaza Colonia-
Quilmes1
Deportivo Colonia2
TBD-
Cerro Largo-
Colon3
Los Halcones1
TBD-
Penarol-
Central San Jose-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston River-
Rampla Juniors2
Rio Negro1
TBD-
Maldonado-
Miramar-
TBD-
TBD-
Club Nacional-
Juventud1
Universal San Jose0
TBD-
Albion-
La Luz2
Deportivo Italiano1
TBD-
Fenix-
1/16-finals
Mar De Fondo0
Cerrito1
Uruguay Montevideo FC2
Montevideo City4
Rocha0
Rentistas3
Progreso3
Danubio2
Racing Montevideo0
Defensor Sp.1
Juventud Colonia1
River Plate Montevideo2
Central Esp.1
Liverpool M.2
Universitario Salto1
Wanderers3
Durazno1
Plaza Colonia3
Deportivo Colonia0
Cerro Largo2
Colon0
Penarol2
Central San Jose0
Boston River2
Rampla Juniors2
Maldonado1
Miramar0
Club Nacional1
Juventud0
Albion1
La Luz2
Fenix1
1/8-finals
Cerrito0
Montevideo City1
Rentistas0
Progreso3
Defensor Sp.2
River Plate Montevideo0
Liverpool M.4
Wanderers0
Plaza Colonia1
Cerro Largo0
Penarol1
Boston River0
Rampla Juniors3
Club Nacional0
Albion2
La Luz3
Quarter-finals
Montevideo City1
Progreso2
Defensor Sp.3
Liverpool M.0
Plaza Colonia0
Penarol1
Rampla Juniors2
La Luz3
Semi-finals
Progreso2
Defensor Sp.4
Penarol1
La Luz2
Final
Defensor Sp.1
La Luz0