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University of Macau vs Benfica Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kabiru D.
26' Event
Niki
33' Event

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Elite League matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
University of Macau
15%
Draws
73%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • University of Macau haven't matched Benfica's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Benfica a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University of Macau Benfica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.93 2.2
Goals Conceded 3.87 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 3.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Elite League
Benfica vs University of Macau
10:0
Apr 19, 2026 Elite League
University of Macau vs Benfica
0:6
Aug 2, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs University of Macau
4:1
Jun 15, 2025 Elite League
University of Macau vs Benfica
1:0
Feb 19, 2025 Elite League
Benfica vs University of Macau
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

University of Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Niki
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kabiru D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.46
Avg xA / game 2.12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Macau 10 / 100
Benfica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University of Macau Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Benfica has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Benfica lost 3 of their last 5 games.

University of Macau scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

University of Macau VS Benfica
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
4.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

University of Macau

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
12 Jul
Artilheiros
3 : 2
University of Macau
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
28 Jun
G. Universe
5 : 3
University of Macau
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Benfica

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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