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University of Macau vs Cheng Fung

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Noronha A.
58' Event
Yoo D.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2025 game between University of Macau and Cheng Fung finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
University of Macau
6%
Draws
90%
Cheng Fung
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cheng Fung

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cheng Fung carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cheng Fung taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University of Macau Cheng Fung
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 1 8
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.63 2
Goals Conceded 4.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Elite League
University of Macau vs Cheng Fung
0:3
Jul 26, 2025 Elite League
University of Macau vs Cheng Fung
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs University of Macau
1:2
Mar 27, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs University of Macau
1:1
Apr 19, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Cheng Fung
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

University of Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Noronha A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Macau 10 / 100
Cheng Fung 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University of Macau Cheng Fung

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheng Fung let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Cheng Fung has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

University of Macau found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

University of Macau VS Cheng Fung
0.63 Goals Scored 2
4.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO17142178:1044
2Shao Jiang17141264:1343
3University of Macau1782733:3226
4Benfica1781831:2825
5Cheng Fung1755722:4220