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University of Macau vs Monte Carlo Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
64' Event
86' Event

AI Match Summary

University of Macau in this Elite League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored University of Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
University of Macau
20%
Draws
70%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Monte Carlo have won more games recently than University of Macau.
  • Monte Carlo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors University of Macau here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University of Macau Monte Carlo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 24 11
Goals Scored 1 2.3
Goals Conceded 3.58 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Monte Carlo
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs University of Macau
1:2
Feb 23, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Monte Carlo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Macau 10 / 100
Monte Carlo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University of Macau Monte Carlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

University of Macau scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Monte Carlo conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: University of Macau stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

University of Macau VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
4.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

University of Macau

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
12 Jul
Artilheiros
3 : 2
University of Macau
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
28 Jun
G. Universe
5 : 3
University of Macau
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Monte Carlo

(Away)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
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