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University of Macau vs Sporting Macau Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Nam M.
5' Event
Tian Yu Xuan
8' Event
Si H.

AI Match Summary

University of Macau in this Elite League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 9-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored University of Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
University of Macau
20%
Draws
64%
Sporting Macau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Macau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • University of Macau have won more games recently than Sporting Macau.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • University of Macau have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University of Macau Sporting Macau
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 2 3
Losses 25 23
Goals Scored 1.26 0.93
Goals Conceded 3.53 4.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2025 Elite League
University of Macau vs Sporting Macau
9:0
Jul 6, 2024 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs University of Macau
2:0
Jun 15, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Sporting Macau
4:2
Apr 5, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Sporting Macau
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

University of Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Tian Yu Xuan
3 Goals
Assists Leader Si H.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sporting Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Macau 30 / 100
Sporting Macau 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University of Macau Sporting Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Macau let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Away concern: Sporting Macau has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

University of Macau scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

University of Macau VS Sporting Macau
0.75 Goals Scored 1
4.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

University of Macau

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
12 Jul
Artilheiros
3 : 2
University of Macau
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
28 Jun
G. Universe
5 : 3
University of Macau
Page 1 of 7

Sporting Macau

(Away)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 7 2 0 39:5 23
2 Shao Jiang 9 7 1 1 44:6 22
3 University of Macau 9 6 1 2 25:10 19
4 Cheng Fung 9 5 4 0 18:7 19
5 Benfica 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Chiba 9 3 1 5 19:26 10
7 Gala 9 2 3 4 17:18 9
8 Hang Sai 9 2 1 6 17:26 7
9 Lun Lok 9 1 0 8 10:40 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 0 9 1:57 0
Promotion - Elite League 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2025 (Relegation Group)