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UNSW vs NWS Spirit

Australia Australia

NPL NSW The Village Green
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
36' Event

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between UNSW and NWS Spirit finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNSW.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
UNSW
44%
Draws
20%
NWS Spirit
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • UNSW carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
UNSW Clean Sheet 20%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNSW NWS Spirit
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs NWS Spirit
3:1
Apr 4, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs UNSW
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNSW 36 / 100
NWS Spirit 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNSW NWS Spirit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NWS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNSW found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

NWS Spirit let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

UNSW has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UNSW VS NWS Spirit
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2487925:2931
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918