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UNSW vs Sydney Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW The Village Green, Sydney
UNSW Logo

UNSW

2 - 0
FT
Sydney Utd Logo

Sydney Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Harb J.
90' Event
Harb J.
90'
Vlastelica M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UNSW in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNSW.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
UNSW
20%
Draws
74%
Sydney Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sydney Utd lately — more wins on the board than UNSW.
  • Win probability leans Sydney Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
UNSW Clean Sheet 15%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNSW Sydney Utd
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Sydney Utd
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs UNSW
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNSW Compare

Top Goalscorer Harb J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sydney Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNSW 10 / 100
Sydney Utd 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNSW Sydney Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

UNSW's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sydney Utd conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

UNSW has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UNSW VS Sydney Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UNSW

(Home)
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0
UNSW
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0
UNSW
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
Page 1 of 6

Sydney Utd

(Away)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)