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UNSW vs Sydney Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW The Village Green
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Harb J.
90' Event
Harb J.
90'
Vlastelica M.

AI Match Summary

UNSW in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNSW.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
UNSW
20%
Draws
38%
Sydney Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UNSW

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sydney Utd lately — more wins on the board than UNSW.
  • Win probability leans UNSW's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
UNSW Clean Sheet 20%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNSW Sydney Utd
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Sydney Utd
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs UNSW
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNSW Compare

Top Goalscorer Harb J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sydney Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNSW 42 / 100
Sydney Utd 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNSW Sydney Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNSW scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Sydney Utd conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

UNSW has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UNSW VS Sydney Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt24173452:3054
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden24123942:3339
5Sutherland Sharks241131037:3136
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong24951028:3232
8UNSW24941135:3631
9NWS Spirit24941128:3031
10Manly Utd2487925:2931
11Western Sydney Wanderers U2124851145:3929
12SD Raiders24851133:4129
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints24611723:4519
16Sydney Olympic24541526:5019