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Unter-Flockenbach vs Fernwald - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unter-Flockenbach host Fernwald in the Oberliga Hessen. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Fernwald have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Unter-Flockenbach have conceded 2.27 and scored 2.2. Head-to-head, Unter-Flockenbach have won 0 to Fernwald's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 7, 2024, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Fernwald to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Unter-Flockenbach
35%
Draws
32%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Unter-Flockenbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fernwald's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fernwald here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Unter-Flockenbach Clean Sheet 20%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unter-Flockenbach Fernwald
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 15
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.2 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Unter-Flockenbach vs Fernwald
1:4
Jul 27, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Unter-Flockenbach
3:0
Mar 4, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Unter-Flockenbach vs Fernwald
0:1
Aug 20, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Unter-Flockenbach
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unter-Flockenbach 24 / 100
Fernwald 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unter-Flockenbach Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unter-Flockenbach scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Fernwald conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Unter-Flockenbach remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Unter-Flockenbach VS Fernwald
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Unter-Flockenbach

(Home)
24 Oct
Unter-Flockenbach
3 : 0
Hanauer SC
18 Oct
Kassel 2
2 : 2
Unter-Flockenbach
10 Oct
Unter-Flockenbach
1 : 0
Hunfelder
03 Oct
Alzenau
3 : 0
Unter-Flockenbach
25 Sept
Unter-Flockenbach
2 : 7
Stadtallendorf
Page 1 of 6

Fernwald

(Away)
24 Oct
Baunatal
0 : 2
Fernwald
17 Oct
Fernwald
2 : 2
Hadamar
11 Oct
CSC 03 Kassel
0 : 0
Fernwald
03 Oct
Fernwald
2 : 2
RW Walldorf
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stadtallendorf 15 10 3 2 42:12 33
2 Unter-Flockenbach 15 10 2 3 40:25 32
3 Hadamar 15 8 3 4 30:22 27
4 Turk Gucu Friedberg 15 8 3 4 32:22 27
5 Eddersheim 15 7 4 4 32:30 25
6 Darmstadt U21 15 7 3 5 34:18 24
7 Pohlheim 14 7 2 5 21:21 23
8 Fernwald 15 4 9 2 24:20 21
9 VfB Marburg 15 6 3 6 19:21 21
10 RW Walldorf 15 6 2 7 24:31 20
11 Hunfelder 14 6 1 7 21:22 19
12 Alzenau 15 5 4 6 19:21 19
13 CSC 03 Kassel 14 5 3 6 15:25 18
14 Baunatal 15 4 3 8 20:28 15
15 Hanauer SC 15 3 4 8 21:35 13
16 Hummetroth 14 3 3 8 21:29 12
17 Kassel 2 15 3 3 9 17:29 12
18 Giessen 15 2 3 10 18:39 9
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)