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UP Country Lions vs Blue Star

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Arepade J.
53' Event
Sandesh Pingho S.
71' Event
Perera S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Blue Star in this Super League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blue Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UP Country Lions
6%
Draws
4%
Blue Star
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UP Country Lions average 2.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Blue Star's 2.5.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on UP Country Lions taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 13%
Blue Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Country Lions Blue Star
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 17
Draws 1 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Super League
Blue Star vs UP Country Lions
1:9
Dec 12, 2021 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Blue Star
1:2
Nov 11, 2018 Super League
Blue Star vs UP Country Lions
2:1
Oct 25, 2017 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Blue Star
2:2
Aug 3, 2016 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Blue Star
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UP Country Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Blue Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Arepade J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandesh Pingho S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Country Lions 84 / 100
Blue Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Country Lions Blue Star

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UP Country Lions found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Blue Star conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

UP Country Lions has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UP Country Lions VS Blue Star
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%