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UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2018/2019 game between UP Country Lions and Defenders FC finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UP Country Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UP Country Lions
6%
Draws
4%
Defenders FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UP Country Lions carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans UP Country Lions's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Defenders FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Country Lions Defenders FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 1 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2021 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
2:0
Feb 3, 2019 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
5:2
Sep 16, 2017 Super League
Defenders FC vs UP Country Lions
1:2
Jul 17, 2016 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
0:2
Sep 5, 2015 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Defenders FC
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Country Lions 85 / 100
Defenders FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Country Lions Defenders FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UP Country Lions scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defenders FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

UP Country Lions has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UP Country Lions VS Defenders FC
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

UP Country Lions

(Home)
29 Jul
UP Country Lions
4 : 0
Red Star
17 Jul
Blue Star
1 : 9
UP Country Lions
10 Jan
Red Star
0 : 3
UP Country Lions
07 Jan
Renown
1 : 0
UP Country Lions
29 Dec
UP Country Lions
2 : 3
Colombo
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Defenders FC

(Away)
29 Jul
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
2 : 1
Defenders FC
28 Jul
Renown
3 : 0
Defenders FC
26 Jul
Jamshedpur
5 : 0
Defenders FC
12 Jul
Colombo
0 : 0
Defenders FC
10 Jan
Defenders FC
6 : 1
New Young's SC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Defenders FC16104235:2534
2Colombo1695240:2032
3Blue Star16102423:1632
4Sea Hawks1693430:1930
5Renown1683529:2027
6Ratnam SC1683523:1927
7UP Country Lions1680830:2224
8Red Star1665531:2123
9Matara City1665525:2423
10Blue Eagles1665518:2023
11Solid1653836:3418
12New Young's SC1652922:2517
13Java Lane1645724:3217
14Pelicans SC1645719:3017
15Saunders16421022:3514
16Crystal Palace1634914:3113
17Negombo Youth16141118:467
18Super Sun00000:00
Promotion - AFC Cup 2019 (Qualification)