Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UPDF FC vs Kampala City

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Bombo Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Ochen E.
87' Event
Anyama E.
89' Event
Katenga E.

AI Match Summary

Kampala City in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kampala City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
UPDF FC
6%
Draws
90%
Kampala City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kampala City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kampala City have won more games recently than UPDF FC.
  • Model gives Kampala City a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Kampala City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
UPDF FC Clean Sheet 16%
Kampala City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UPDF FC Kampala City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
UPDF FC vs Kampala City
1:2
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Kampala City vs UPDF FC
4:0
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
UPDF FC vs Kampala City
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Kampala City vs UPDF FC
0:0
May 7, 2024 Premier League
Kampala City vs UPDF FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UPDF FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kampala City Compare

Top Goalscorer Anyama E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Katenga E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UPDF FC 10 / 100
Kampala City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UPDF FC Kampala City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

UPDF FC's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kampala City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: UPDF FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UPDF FC VS Kampala City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers301910155:1767
2Kampala City30195646:2262
3Villa30187547:1761
4Kitara30168643:2256
5Entebbe UPPC30149730:2051
6NEC FC301312531:2251
7Police30138942:3547
8Maroons309111026:2738
9BUL309101130:3337
10Express FC309101128:3137
11Uganda Revenue30516927:3031
12Mbarara City30691526:4627
13Lugazi305101519:3625
14UPDF FC30571824:4122
15Calvary30491714:3921
16Buhimba30432316:6615