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UPDF FC vs Uganda Revenue

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Bombo Stadium
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between UPDF FC and Uganda Revenue finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
UPDF FC
28%
Draws
50%
Uganda Revenue
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Uganda Revenue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • UPDF FC haven't matched Uganda Revenue's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Uganda Revenue a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
UPDF FC Clean Sheet 21%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UPDF FC Uganda Revenue
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 14
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
UPDF FC vs Uganda Revenue
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs UPDF FC
3:2
Mar 7, 2025 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs UPDF FC
2:1
Oct 24, 2024 Premier League
UPDF FC vs Uganda Revenue
0:0
Feb 6, 2024 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs UPDF FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UPDF FC 24 / 100
Uganda Revenue 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UPDF FC Uganda Revenue

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

UPDF FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Uganda Revenue conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: UPDF FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UPDF FC VS Uganda Revenue
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers301910155:1767
2Kampala City30195646:2262
3Villa30187547:1761
4Kitara30168643:2256
5Entebbe UPPC30149730:2051
6NEC FC301312531:2251
7Police30138942:3547
8Maroons309111026:2738
9BUL309101130:3337
10Express FC309101128:3137
11Uganda Revenue30516927:3031
12Mbarara City30691526:4627
13Lugazi305101519:3625
14UPDF FC30571824:4122
15Calvary30491714:3921
16Buhimba30432316:6615