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Upesciems vs Austrumi

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Upesciems advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Upesciems
25%
Draws
35%
Austrumi
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Upesciems

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Upesciems carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Austrumi are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Upesciems have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Upesciems, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Upesciems Clean Sheet 14%
Austrumi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Upesciems Austrumi
Matches Played 20 1
Wins 8 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.8 1
Goals Conceded 2.35 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2011 Latvian Cup
Upesciems vs Austrumi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Upesciems 23 / 100
Austrumi 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Upesciems Austrumi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austrumi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austrumi let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Attacking prowess: Upesciems scored in 74% of their last 19 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Upesciems stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Upesciems VS Austrumi
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Upesciems

(Home)
22 May
Upesciems
0 : 3
Dobele Allegro
18 Jul
Upesciems
2 : 4
Speks
03 Aug
Upesciems
1 : 3
FK Limbazi
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0
Upesciems
02 Jun
Upesciems
5 : 2
Lubana
Page 1 of 4

Austrumi

(Away)
05 Jun
Upesciems
2 : 1
Austrumi

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Skonto -
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Zelis Gulbene -
TBD -
FK Dobele 0
Marupe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
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Ozolnieki 4
Mersrags 0
Sigulda 0
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Aluksne 2
Bebri 0
Austrumi 1
Upesciems 2
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre -
TBD -
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Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
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Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avantis 3
FK Ergli 0
FK Olaine 0
Iecava 1
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Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
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Grobina 1
Kekava 0
Aizkraukle 0
FK Smiltene 3
Brali 4
Jelgava/Jauniesi 3
Plavinas 3
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja -
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Rezekne -
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FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Zelis Gulbene 3
Marupe 1
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
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Ozolnieki 2
FK Auda Riga 6
FK Aluksne 0
Upesciems 3
FK Auda Riga -
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Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre -
TBD -
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Gulbene -
Jelgava -
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Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Avantis 0
Iecava 3
TBD -
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TBD -
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Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
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Grobina -
FK Smiltene -
Brali 1
FK Madona Kvarcs 6
FK 1625 Liepaja -
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Rezekne -
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FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Skonto -
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Zelis Gulbene 0
RFS 12
FK Metta 3
BFC Daugavpils 1
TBD -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
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Ozolnieki 4
Upesciems 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera 4
Ogre 0
TBD -
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Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
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Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala 5
Iecava 0
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Grobina 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 0
Tukums 2000 3
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
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FK Madona Kvarcs -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Skonto 2
RFS 0
FK Metta 0
FC Jurmala 3
FK Daugava Riga 4
Tukums 2000 0
Valmiera 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 3
Olimps Riga 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Ventspils 2
FC Daugava Daugavpils 11
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Liepaja 3
Quarter-finals
Skonto 1
FC Jurmala 0
FK Daugava Riga 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
Semi-finals
Skonto 1
Gulbene 0
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 4
Final
Skonto 2
FK Liepaja 1