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Ural 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ryzhkov I.
46'
Sub
Sablin A. In: Yarkin A.
Out: Sablin A.
46'
Sub
Eruslanov M. In: Petukhov A.
Out: Eruslanov M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2025 game between Ural 2 and Dynamo Barnaul finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dynamo Barnaul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ural 2
39%
Draws
30%
Dynamo Barnaul
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dynamo Barnaul come out ahead of Ural 2 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ural 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Dynamo Barnaul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural 2 Dynamo Barnaul
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Ural 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul
6:3
Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Ural 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul
2:3
Jul 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Ural 2
3:1
Sep 6, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Ural 2
0:3
Jun 2, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Ural 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryzhkov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nem V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Dynamo Barnaul Compare

Top Goalscorer Yarkin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petukhov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 2 30 / 100
Dynamo Barnaul 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural 2 Dynamo Barnaul

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Ural 2 scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Dynamo Barnaul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Ural 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ural 2 VS Dynamo Barnaul
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amkar26203360:1963
2Khimik26195256:2062
3KDV Tomsk26137641:2546
4Orenburg 2261210441:2446
5Uralets Nizhny Tagil26126837:2842
6Dynamo Barnaul26125930:4041
7Volna Nizhegorodskaya261241033:3540
8Rubin Kazan 226116940:3039
9Krylya Sovetov Samara 226781129:3929
10Akron Togliatti 226831541:5227
11Chelyabinsk 226761318:4027
12Ural 226561522:5321
13Nosta26541724:5219
14Sokol Kazan2621238:237