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Ural vs Dynamo Makhachkala

Russia Russia

Premier League 2025/2026 Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Domingos V.
46'
Sub
Dzhabrailov A. In: Glushkov N.
Out: Dzhabrailov A.
56'
Sub
Agalarov G. In: Hosseinnejad M.
Out: Agalarov G.

AI Match Summary

Dynamo Makhachkala in this Premier League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ural
20%
Draws
22%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ural

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ural lately — more wins on the board than Dynamo Makhachkala.
  • Ural are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ural have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dynamo Makhachkala, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Dynamo Makhachkala
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Ural
2:0
May 20, 2026 Premier League
Ural vs Dynamo Makhachkala
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Top Goalscorer Domingos V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 95 / 100
Dynamo Makhachkala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Dynamo Makhachkala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Makhachkala has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Ural's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Ural remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Dynamo Makhachkala
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ural

(Home)
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
Ural
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Dynamo Makhachkala

(Away)
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
02 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
30 Aug
Rubin Kazan
3 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dynamo Makhachkala 3
Ural 0
Akron Togliatti 2
R. Volgograd 1