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Ural vs Kamaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Ishkov I.
25'
Khubaev D.
25' Event
Sungatulin F.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Ural in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ural.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ural
30%
Draws
37%
Kamaz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kamaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ural lately — more wins on the board than Kamaz.
  • Ural are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ural have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ural Clean Sheet 20%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Kamaz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Kamaz
2:0
May 11, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Kamaz
2:0
Oct 6, 2025 FNL
Kamaz vs Ural
5:1
Apr 5, 2025 FNL
Ural vs Kamaz
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 FNL
Kamaz vs Ural
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Bokov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sekulic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kamaz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 36 / 100
Kamaz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Kamaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ural scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Kamaz has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ural stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Kamaz
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ural

(Home)
18 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
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Kamaz

(Away)
17 Oct
Kamaz
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
10 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
3 : 3
Kamaz
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 14 12 1 1 43:15 37
2 PFC Sochi 14 9 2 3 23:14 29
3 Torpedo Moscow 15 8 4 3 27:12 28
4 S. Kostroma 14 8 3 3 20:13 27
5 Veles Moscow 15 8 3 4 20:18 27
6 Ural 14 7 4 3 22:10 25
7 Ufa 14 5 6 3 18:14 21
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 14 4 8 2 18:14 20
9 R. Volgograd 15 5 4 6 23:18 19
10 Ulyanovsk 15 5 3 7 20:22 18
11 Arsenal Tula 14 4 4 6 15:26 16
12 Chelyabinsk 14 4 3 7 18:23 15
13 Yenisey 14 3 5 6 16:27 14
14 Kamaz 14 3 4 7 16:23 13
15 Leningradets 14 3 4 7 11:25 13
16 Neftekhimik 14 4 0 10 10:21 12
17 Tekstilshtik 14 2 4 8 10:22 10
18 SKA Khabarovsk 14 1 4 9 15:28 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)