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Ural vs Kamaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ishkov I.
18'
Shamkin D.
24' Event
Leo Cordeiro

AI Match Summary

Ural in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ural.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ural
20%
Draws
33%
Kamaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ural

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ural lately — more wins on the board than Kamaz.
  • Ural are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ural have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Kamaz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.59 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Kamaz
2:0
May 11, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Kamaz
2:0
Oct 6, 2025 FNL
Kamaz vs Ural
5:1
Apr 5, 2025 FNL
Ural vs Kamaz
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 FNL
Kamaz vs Ural
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishkov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Cordeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kamaz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 68 / 100
Kamaz 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Kamaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ural scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Kamaz conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ural stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Kamaz
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ural

(Home)
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
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Kamaz

(Away)
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 1
Kamaz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 34 19 11 4 58:28 68
2 Fakel Voronezh 34 20 8 6 44:22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51:31 61
4 R. Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47:26 56
5 Kamaz 34 12 13 9 46:34 49
6 Yenisey 34 13 10 11 37:35 49
7 S. Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46:41 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34:28 48
9 Torpedo Moscow 34 12 10 12 37:39 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42:40 44
11 Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40:41 43
12 SKA Khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37:45 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42:44 39
14 Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35:48 37
15 Ufa 34 9 10 15 32:40 37
16 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 34 9 8 17 37:49 35
17 Saratov 34 5 11 18 16:44 26
18 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 34 5 7 22 30:76 22
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Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)