Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Fernandez D. In: Golubovic P.
Out: Fernandez D.
46'
46'
Sub
Farina E. In: Filin A.
Out: Farina E.
46'
46'
Sub
Bardachev M. In: Goglichidze L.
Out: Bardachev M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Ural advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ural
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Khimki haven't matched Ural's recent run of results.
- Ural are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Ural have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ural, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%
Khimki Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ural | Khimki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 27, 2024 Russian Cup
Ural vs Khimki
2:1
May 27, 2023 Premier League
Khimki vs Ural
0:3
Oct 7, 2022 Premier League
Ural vs Khimki
2:1
Mar 19, 2022 Premier League
Ural vs Khimki
0:1
Oct 31, 2021 Premier League
Khimki vs Ural
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ural Compare
Top Goalscorer Voronov M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Khimki Compare
Top Goalscorer Magomedov B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ural 95 / 100
Khimki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ural Khimki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ural Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ural found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Khimki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ural remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ural VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ural
(Home) 26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2 Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1 Ural
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0 Kamaz
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0 Kamaz
22 Aug
Ural
2 : 0 Tekstilshtik
08 Aug
Ural
3 : 0 Ufa
19 Jul
Ural
3 : 0 Yenisey
13 Jul
Ural
0 : 1 Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 4
Khimki
(Away) 24 May
Spartak Moscow
5 : 0 Khimki
17 May
Khimki
3 : 2 Rubin Kazan
10 May
Orenburg
1 : 1 Khimki
04 May
Khimki
1 : 1 FK Rostov
27 Apr
Khimki
2 : 2 Akron Togliatti
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Spartak Moscow
5 : 0 Khimki
10 May
Orenburg
1 : 1 Khimki
20 Apr
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0 Khimki
06 Apr
Dynamo Makhachkala
4 : 1 Khimki
08 Mar
CSKA Moscow
1 : 0 Khimki
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0
Akron Togliatti 1
TBD -
Spartak Moscow -
Ural 2
Khimki 1
TBD -
Rubin Kazan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Moscow -
PFC Sochi 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
TBD -
Lokomotiv Moscow -
Tyumen 3
Krasnodar 4
TBD -
Akhmat Grozny -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Rostov -
1/8-finals
Akron Togliatti 2
Spartak Moscow 3
Ural 1
Rubin Kazan 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Moscow -
Dynamo Makhachkala 1
Lokomotiv Moscow 2
Krasnodar 1
Akhmat Grozny 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Rostov -
Quarter-finals
Spartak Moscow 3
Ural 0
TBD -
Dynamo Moscow -
Lokomotiv Moscow 2
Akhmat Grozny 1
TBD -
FK Rostov -
Semi-finals
Spartak Moscow 2
Dynamo Moscow 1
Lokomotiv Moscow 0
FK Rostov 2
Final
Spartak Moscow 1
FK Rostov 2
