Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ural vs Torpedo Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Begic S.
22' Event
Akbashev R.
24'
Curic M.

AI Match Summary

Ural in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ural.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ural
30%
Draws
23%
Torpedo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ural

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ural haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Torpedo Moscow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.53 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Apr 22, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
2:0
Aug 18, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ural
1:0
Apr 21, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ural
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 FNL
Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Begic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akbashev R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Torpedo Moscow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 41 / 100
Torpedo Moscow 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Torpedo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ural found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Ural stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Torpedo Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Torpedo Moscow
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ural

(Home)
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
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Torpedo Moscow

(Away)
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
04 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 4
Torpedo Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 34 19 11 4 58:28 68
2 Fakel Voronezh 34 20 8 6 44:22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51:31 61
4 R. Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47:26 56
5 Kamaz 34 12 13 9 46:34 49
6 Yenisey 34 13 10 11 37:35 49
7 S. Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46:41 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34:28 48
9 Torpedo Moscow 34 12 10 12 37:39 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42:40 44
11 Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40:41 43
12 SKA Khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37:45 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42:44 39
14 Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35:48 37
15 Ufa 34 9 10 15 32:40 37
16 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 34 9 8 17 37:49 35
17 Saratov 34 5 11 18 16:44 26
18 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 34 5 7 22 30:76 22
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Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)