Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ural vs Ufa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
3 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Malkevich V.
54'
Tikhiy D.
57'
Gilyazetdinov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Ural and Ufa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ural.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ural
35%
Draws
19%
Ufa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ural

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ural carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ural are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ural have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%
Ufa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Ufa
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.57 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.87 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Ufa
3:0
Apr 12, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Ufa
0:0
Sep 15, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs Ural
2:3
May 11, 2025 FNL
Ural vs Ufa
2:1
Aug 12, 2024 FNL
Ufa vs Ural
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Malkevich V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sekulic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ufa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 68 / 100
Ufa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Ufa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ural scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ufa conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Ural went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Ufa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ural

(Home)
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
Page 1 of 6

Ufa

(Away)
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1
Ufa
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13 11 1 1 41:14 34
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 Torpedo Moscow 13 7 3 3 24:10 24
5 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
6 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
8 R. Volgograd 13 5 3 5 22:16 18
9 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
10 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Ulyanovsk 14 4 3 7 18:21 15
13 Yenisey 13 3 5 5 15:25 14
14 Leningradets 13 3 4 6 11:23 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)