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Ural vs Ulyanovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ural host Ulyanovsk in the FNL. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Ural at 1.59 goals for, 0.83 against; Ulyanovsk at 1.14 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Ural have won 3 to Ulyanovsk's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.19, favoring Ural. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ural
15%
Draws
50%
Ulyanovsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulyanovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ural come out ahead of Ulyanovsk on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ural taking it.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ural Clean Sheet 20%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Ulyanovsk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Ural
0:0
Aug 25, 2025 FNL
Ural vs Ulyanovsk
4:0
Sep 16, 2020 Russian Cup
Ulyanovsk vs Ural
0:3
Sep 5, 2008 FNL
Ural vs Ulyanovsk
2:1
May 15, 2008 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Ural
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 36 / 100
Ulyanovsk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Ulyanovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ural scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Ulyanovsk let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Ural has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Ulyanovsk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ural

(Home)
25 Oct
Chelyabinsk
1 : 3
Ural
18 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
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Ulyanovsk

(Away)
25 Oct
Ulyanovsk
1 : 0
Veles Moscow
18 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
14 Oct
Ulyanovsk
1 : 0
FC Murom
10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 15 13 1 1 44:15 40
2 PFC Sochi 15 10 2 3 26:15 32
3 Torpedo Moscow 15 8 4 3 27:12 28
4 Ural 15 8 4 3 25:11 28
5 S. Kostroma 15 8 3 4 21:15 27
6 Veles Moscow 16 8 3 5 20:19 27
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 15 5 8 2 20:15 23
8 Ulyanovsk 16 6 3 7 21:22 21
9 Ufa 15 5 6 4 18:15 21
10 Arsenal Tula 15 5 4 6 19:29 19
11 R. Volgograd 15 5 4 6 23:18 19
12 Chelyabinsk 15 4 3 8 19:26 15
13 Yenisey 15 3 5 7 16:30 14
14 Leningradets 15 3 5 7 12:26 14
15 Kamaz 15 3 4 8 19:27 13
16 Neftekhimik 15 4 1 10 11:22 13
17 SKA Khabarovsk 15 2 4 9 18:28 10
18 Tekstilshtik 15 2 4 9 11:25 10
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)