Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ural vs Yenisey

Russia Russia

FNL Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Pechura R. In: Tlekhugov M.
Out: Pechura R.
46'
Sub
Khashkulov A. In: Okladnikov A.
Out: Khashkulov A.
49' Event
Kharin E.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Ural and Yenisey finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ural.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ural
39%
Draws
30%
Yenisey
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Yenisey carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ural Clean Sheet 23%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Yenisey
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Yenisey
3:0
Mar 22, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Yenisey
2:4
Aug 10, 2025 FNL
Yenisey vs Ural
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 FNL
Ural vs Yenisey
4:3
Sep 29, 2024 FNL
Yenisey vs Ural
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Kharin E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morozov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Yenisey Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 33 / 100
Yenisey 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Yenisey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Ural's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Yenisey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Ural remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Yenisey
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ural

(Home)
13 Jul
Ural
0 : 1
Torpedo Moscow
04 Jul
Ural
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
20 Jun
Ural
3 : 0
Chelyabinsk
23 May
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Ural
20 May
Ural
0 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
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Yenisey

(Away)
11 Jul
Ulyanovsk
1 : 2
Yenisey
04 Jul
Yenisey
1 : 1
Andijan
03 Jul
Yenisey
4 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg 2
23 Jun
FC Gomel
0 : 0
Yenisey
18 Jun
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Yenisey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ufa11003:03
2Pari Nizhny Novgorod11004:23
3Chelyabinsk11003:13
4S. Kostroma11003:13
5Yenisey11002:13
6Arsenal Tula11002:13
7Torpedo Moscow11001:03
8Veles Moscow11001:03
9Shinnik Yaroslavl10102:21
10PFC Sochi10102:21
11Tekstilshtik10011:20
12Ulyanovsk10011:20
13Ural10010:10
14Neftekhimik10010:10
15R. Volgograd10012:40
16SKA Khabarovsk10011:30
17Kamaz10011:30
18Leningradets10010:30
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