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Ural vs Yenisey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Pechura R. In: Tlekhugov M.
Out: Pechura R.
46'
Sub
Khashkulov A. In: Okladnikov A.
Out: Khashkulov A.
49' Event
Kharin E.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Ural and Yenisey finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ural.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ural
20%
Draws
40%
Yenisey
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ural carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ural are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Yenisey
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Yenisey
3:0
Mar 22, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Yenisey
2:4
Aug 10, 2025 FNL
Yenisey vs Ural
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 FNL
Ural vs Yenisey
4:3
Sep 29, 2024 FNL
Yenisey vs Ural
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Kharin E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morozov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Yenisey Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 68 / 100
Yenisey 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Yenisey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ural's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Yenisey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Ural remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Yenisey
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ural

(Home)
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
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Yenisey

(Away)
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 13 7 2 4 17:16 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
10 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
13 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
14 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)