Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League 2026 Saitama Stadium, Saitama

Urawa Reds

Wed, Mar 18, 2026

1 - 2

10:30 AM

Kashiwa Reysol

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Koizumi Y.

46'

Sub

Koizumi Y. In: Segawa Y.

Out: Koizumi Y.

49'

Yasui K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kashiwa Reysol in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kashiwa Reysol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Urawa Reds

17%

Draws

70%

Kashiwa Reysol

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Kashiwa Reysol have won more games recently than Urawa Reds.
Model gives Kashiwa Reysol a 70% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 25%

Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Urawa Reds	Kashiwa Reysol
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	16
Draws	3	0
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	1.38	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Reds

0:1

Mar 18, 2026 J1 League

Urawa Reds vs Kashiwa Reysol

1:2

Aug 22, 2025 J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Reds

4:2

Mar 2, 2025 J1 League

Urawa Reds vs Kashiwa Reysol

0:2

Oct 23, 2024 J1 League

Urawa Reds vs Kashiwa Reysol

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urawa Reds Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasui K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Top Goalscorer Segawa Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urawa Reds 17 / 100

Kashiwa Reysol 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Urawa Reds Kashiwa Reysol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urawa Reds found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Kashiwa Reysol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Urawa Reds went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urawa Reds VS Kashiwa Reysol

1.38 Goals Scored 0.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 38%

25% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urawa Reds

(Home)

17 Jul

Ryukyu

5 : 4

Urawa Reds

06 Jun

Urawa Reds

0 : 2

Okayama

31 May

Okayama

1 : 1

Urawa Reds

22 May

Machida Zelvia

1 : 0

Urawa Reds

16 May

Urawa Reds

0 : 1

FC Tokyo

Page 1 of 6

Kashiwa Reysol

(Away)

06 Jun

Kashiwa Reysol

0 : 1

Kyoto

30 May

Kyoto

2 : 6

Kashiwa Reysol

23 May

Kashiwa Reysol

4 : 2

Chiba

16 May

Yokohama F. Marinos

0 : 1

Kashiwa Reysol

10 May

Kashiwa Reysol

1 : 0

Kawasaki Frontale

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	18	15	3	31:11	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	32:18	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	28:22	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	26:28	28
5	Verdy	18	10	8	22:26	28
6	Urawa Reds	18	7	11	25:22	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	28:31	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	22:24	20
9	Mito	18	6	12	23:39	18
10	Chiba	18	3	15	18:34	12

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	29:25	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	30:21	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	33:31	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	31:23	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	31:25	28
6	Okayama	18	8	10	26:29	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	8	10	23:25	24
8	Kyoto	18	8	10	22:28	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	21:29	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	21:31	21

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)