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Urawa Reds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J1 League Saitama Stadium, Saitama
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Match Events

16' Event
Suzuki A.
Assist: Kawabe H.
22'
Suzuki A.
22' Event
Araki H.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Urawa Reds
15%
Draws
42%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urawa Reds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won more games recently than Urawa Reds.
  • Win probability leans Sanfrecce Hiroshima's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 10%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urawa Reds Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.68 2
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:4
Nov 9, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa Reds
3:0
Apr 25, 2025 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:0
Feb 23, 2024 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa Reds
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urawa Reds Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare

Top Goalscorer Suzuki A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shiotani T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urawa Reds 18 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urawa Reds Sanfrecce Hiroshima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urawa Reds found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Urawa Reds stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urawa Reds VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Urawa Reds

(Home)
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2
Okayama
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Away)
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 8 6 1 1 12:5 19
2 Kashiwa Reysol 8 6 0 2 17:12 18
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
4 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 21:10 17
5 FC Tokyo 8 5 2 1 14:8 17
6 Yokohama F. Marinos 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
8 Kashima Antlers 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 Okayama 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
10 Urawa Reds 8 4 0 4 16:18 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Gamba Osaka 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka 8 1 1 6 9:12 4
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)