Sport Picks
Urawa Reds vs Yokohama F. Marinos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Saitama Stadium, Saitama 
Match Events
38'
38'
Tanimura K.
Assist: Matsumura K.
40'
40'
Matheus S.
48'
48'
Matsumura K.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Urawa Reds and Yokohama F. Marinos finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urawa Reds.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Yokohama F. Marinos carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 13%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urawa Reds | Yokohama F. Marinos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3:2
Apr 25, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2:3
Feb 21, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Urawa Reds
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Urawa Reds
4:0
Apr 20, 2025 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Urawa Reds Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nemoto K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Yokohama F. Marinos Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanimura K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urawa Reds 35 / 100
Yokohama F. Marinos 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urawa Reds Yokohama F. Marinos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yokohama F. Marinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Urawa Reds scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Yokohama F. Marinos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Urawa Reds went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Urawa Reds VS Yokohama F. Marinos
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Urawa Reds
(Home) 10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0 Urawa Reds
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Omiya Ardija
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3 Urawa Reds
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Omiya Ardija
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
29 Aug
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Aug
Urawa Reds
3 : 0 Yamanashi Gakuin
Page 1 of 3
Yokohama F. Marinos
(Away) 10 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1 Kyoto Sangyo
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0 Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
29 Aug
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 5 |
| 20 | Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:14 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
