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Urawa W vs Beleza W

Japan Japan

WE League Women 2025/2026 Urawa Komaba Stadium, Saitama
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Match Events

9' Event
Shimada M.
Assist: Sakakibara K.

AI Match Summary

The WE League Women 2025/2026 game between Urawa W and Beleza W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urawa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Urawa W
15%
Draws
49%
Beleza W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beleza W come out ahead of Urawa W on wins alone.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Urawa W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Urawa W Clean Sheet 68%
Beleza W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urawa W Beleza W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 19
Draws 0 1
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.11 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Beleza W
3:1
May 10, 2026 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Beleza W
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Urawa W
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Beleza W
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 WE League Women
Beleza W vs Urawa W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urawa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimada M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Beleza W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urawa W 41 / 100
Beleza W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urawa W Beleza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urawa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urawa W scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Beleza W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Urawa W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urawa W VS Beleza W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Urawa W

(Home)
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
12 Sept
JEF United W
3 : 2
Urawa W
05 Sept
Urawa W
3 : 1
Beleza W
30 Aug
Urawa W
5 : 1
Nojima Stella W
22 Aug
Omiya Ardija W
0 : 1
Urawa W
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Beleza W

(Away)
19 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 1
Beleza W
12 Sept
Beleza W
3 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
05 Sept
Urawa W
3 : 1
Beleza W
29 Aug
AC Parceiro Nagano W
1 : 4
Beleza W
23 Aug
Beleza W
2 : 1
JEF United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 22 17 2 3 50:13 53
2 Urawa W 22 14 2 6 46:15 44
3 Beleza W 22 13 2 7 44:23 41
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 22 10 8 4 30:20 38
5 Mynavi Sendai W 22 9 7 6 22:19 34
6 Albirex Niigata W 22 9 4 9 23:27 31
7 Omiya Ardija W 22 6 9 7 24:28 27
8 Nojima Stella W 22 8 3 11 28:34 27
9 JEF United W 22 6 6 10 16:34 24
10 C-Osaka W 22 5 6 11 20:34 21
11 Saitama W 22 5 3 14 20:37 18
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 22 2 4 16 16:55 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Main)