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Urduliz FT vs CD Vitoria

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

CD Vitoria in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Urduliz FT
20%
Draws
40%
CD Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Urduliz FT.
  • Win probability leans CD Vitoria's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 18%
CD Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urduliz FT CD Vitoria
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 23
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 1
Goals Scored 1.13 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.74 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Urduliz FT
3:2
Sep 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs CD Vitoria
0:1
Feb 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Urduliz FT
1:1
Oct 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs CD Vitoria
0:1
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Urduliz FT
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urduliz FT Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

CD Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urduliz FT 28 / 100
CD Vitoria 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urduliz FT CD Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urduliz FT's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Urduliz FT remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CD Vitoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Urduliz FT VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Urduliz FT

(Home)
10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0
Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2
Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0
San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0
Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 7

CD Vitoria

(Away)
11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2
Pasaia
04 May
Padura
0 : 1
CD Vitoria
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Touring KE
27 Apr
San Ignacio
2 : 0
CD Vitoria
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)