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Urduliz FT vs SD Deusto

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Merino A.
19' Event
Belar P.
59' Event
Baroja M.

AI Match Summary

SD Deusto in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Deusto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Urduliz FT
20%
Draws
23%
SD Deusto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urduliz FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • SD Deusto have won more games recently than Urduliz FT.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Urduliz FT taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 20%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urduliz FT SD Deusto
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs SD Deusto
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Urduliz FT
2:0
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Urduliz FT
1:2
Nov 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs SD Deusto
0:0
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Urduliz FT
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urduliz FT Compare

Top Goalscorer Merino A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

SD Deusto Compare

Top Goalscorer Belar P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baroja M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urduliz FT 42 / 100
SD Deusto 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urduliz FT SD Deusto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urduliz FT scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

SD Deusto let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Urduliz FT has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS SD Deusto
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Urduliz FT

(Home)
10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0
Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2
Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0
San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0
Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1
Leioa
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SD Deusto

(Away)
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3
Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1
SD Deusto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)