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Urena vs Lara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Cruz B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Urena
20%
Draws
51%
Lara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lara lately — more wins on the board than Urena.
  • Model gives Lara a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Lara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lara, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Urena Clean Sheet 12%
Lara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urena Lara
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.29 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Lara
0:1
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Urena vs Lara
1:0
Jun 6, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Urena
2:3
Apr 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Lara
0:0
Jul 17, 2016 Liga FUTVE
Lara vs Urena
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urena Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Lara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urena 11 / 100
Lara 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urena Lara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urena found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Urena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Lara conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Urena VS Lara
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Urena

(Home)
07 Oct
Urena
2 : 2
Trujillanos
04 Oct
Urena
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0
Urena
20 Sept
Urena
0 : 3
Zamora 2
17 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
2 : 3
Urena
Page 1 of 6

Lara

(Away)
07 Oct
Rayo Zuliano
3 : 2
Lara
04 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello B
2 : 1
Lara
30 Sept
Lara
4 : 0
Real Frontera
19 Sept
Yaracuyanos
0 : 1
Lara
16 Sept
Lara
3 : 0
Atletico El Vigia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
2 Atletico Barinas 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Atletico El Vigia 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
4 Real Frontera 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Aragua 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
3 Yaracuyanos 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Barquisimeto 5 1 0 4 3:16 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
2 Urena 5 1 3 1 5:7 6
3 Trujillanos 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
4 Lara 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 5 4 0 1 13:3 12
2 Mineros 5 3 1 1 13:2 10
3 Bolivar 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams