Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Urena vs Rayo Zuliano

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Venezuela. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Rayo Zuliano have shipped 0.29 goals a game lately, while Urena have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Urena slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.90 xG vs 0.51) point toward Urena. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Urena
39%
Draws
31%
Rayo Zuliano
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Rayo Zuliano haven't matched Urena's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Urena have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Urena, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Urena Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Zuliano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urena Rayo Zuliano
Matches Played 24 25
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.14
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Urena vs Rayo Zuliano
0:0
Jul 1, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Rayo Zuliano vs Urena
0:0
Jul 30, 2022 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Rayo Zuliano
1:0
Apr 10, 2022 Liga FUTVE 2
Rayo Zuliano vs Urena
6:0
Oct 16, 2021 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Rayo Zuliano
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urena 31 / 100
Rayo Zuliano 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urena Rayo Zuliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urena's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Rayo Zuliano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Urena stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Urena VS Rayo Zuliano
1.5 Goals Scored 0.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.29
75% Over 1.5 14%
50% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Urena

(Home)
24 Jun
Urena
1 : 0
Lara
06 Jun
Lara
2 : 3
Urena
31 May
Urena
1 : 1
Yaracuyanos
24 May
Atletico El Vigia
1 : 2
Urena
20 May
Urena
1 : 0
Atletico Barinas
Page 1 of 5

Rayo Zuliano

(Away)
24 Jun
Rayo Zuliano
0 : 0
Trujillanos
25 Apr
Caracas
2 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
18 Apr
Rayo Zuliano
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
11 Apr
Monagas
3 : 0
Rayo Zuliano
04 Apr
Rayo Zuliano
3 : 1
Trujillanos
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academia Anzoategui11003:13
2Deportivo Miranda00000:00
3Maritimo de Venezuela00000:00
4Avila10011:30
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zamora11006:13
2Atletico Barinas11001:03
3Real Frontera10010:10
4Atletico El Vigia10011:60
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yaracuyanos11004:03
2Aragua10101:11
3Caracas10101:11
4Barquisimeto10010:40
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Urena11001:03
2Trujillanos10100:01
3Rayo Zuliano10100:01
4Lara10010:10
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Monagas11004:03
2Mineros10101:11
3Bolivar10101:11
4Dynamo Puerto FC10010:40
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams