Sport Picks

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Urgatzi vs CD Ariznabarra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Urgatzi
15%
Draws
85%
CD Ariznabarra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Ariznabarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Ariznabarra have won more games recently than Urgatzi.
  • Win probability leans CD Ariznabarra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Urgatzi Clean Sheet 10%
CD Ariznabarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urgatzi CD Ariznabarra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 5
Draws 2 9
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.53 0.9
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs Urgatzi
5:1
Apr 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urgatzi vs CD Ariznabarra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urgatzi 10 / 100
CD Ariznabarra 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urgatzi CD Ariznabarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ariznabarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ariznabarra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

CD Ariznabarra's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Urgatzi's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Urgatzi VS CD Ariznabarra
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urgatzi

(Home)
12 Jun
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Urgatzi
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2
Lagun Onak
15 May
Santurtzi
4 : 1
Urgatzi
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CD Ariznabarra

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
22 May
Tolosa
4 : 0
CD Ariznabarra
16 May
CD Ariznabarra
1 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
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