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Urgatzi vs Santurtzi

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Urgatzi and Santurtzi finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santurtzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Urgatzi
15%
Draws
85%
Santurtzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santurtzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Urgatzi haven't matched Santurtzi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santurtzi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Urgatzi Clean Sheet 24%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urgatzi Santurtzi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.53 1.03
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Urgatzi
4:1
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urgatzi vs Santurtzi
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urgatzi 17 / 100
Santurtzi 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urgatzi Santurtzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santurtzi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Santurtzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: Santurtzi registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Urgatzi's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santurtzi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urgatzi

(Home)
12 Jun
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Urgatzi
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2
Lagun Onak
15 May
Santurtzi
4 : 1
Urgatzi
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Santurtzi

(Away)
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
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