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Uritarra vs Portugalete - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between Uritarra and Portugalete finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Uritarra
15%
Draws
37%
Portugalete
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uritarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Uritarra haven't matched Portugalete's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Uritarra's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Uritarra Clean Sheet 68%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uritarra Portugalete
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 9 23
Draws 8 13
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Uritarra vs Portugalete
1:1
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Uritarra
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uritarra 59 / 100
Portugalete 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uritarra Portugalete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uritarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uritarra found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Uritarra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Portugalete conceded in 59% of 44 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portugalete
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uritarra

(Home)
30 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 1
Lagun Onak
23 Apr
CD Vitoria
1 : 0
Uritarra
13 Apr
Uritarra
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
09 Apr
Pasaia
0 : 2
Uritarra
02 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 3
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

Portugalete

(Away)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)